Bitcoin leaves Nvidia, Tesla, and other tech titans in the dust

Bitcoin moved in tandem with high-growth tech stocks, especially the “Magnificent 7” (Apple, Microsoft, Nvidia, Amazon, Meta, Tesla, and Google parent company Alphabet) for years, often viewed by investors as a high-beta gauge of risk appetite. However, in recent years, particularly following the COVID-19 crisis, Bitcoin has begun to assume a different role: that of a potential flight-to-safety asset.

In 2025, that evolution is accelerating. Year-to-date, all "Magnificent Seven" (Mag 7) stocks are in the red, with Nvidia down 20% and Tesla down 25%. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, which peaked in mid-January, is up by over 3.5% year to date (YTD) as of May 1. While the Mag 7 delivered strong earnings recently, they continue to wrestle with renewed trade tensions and tariff drama under the Trump administration. Meanwhile, Bitcoin is charting its own course, asserting dominance in market performance. 

Mag 7 dominance vs. Bitcoin evolution 

The Mag 7 accounts for approximately 30% of the S&P 500 and 41% of the Nasdaq-100 by market cap, the two of the world’s most closely followed indices, underpinning trillions of dollars in ETFs such as Vanguard’s VOO and Invesco’s QQQ. This concentration of capital in these stocks has significantly amplified their influence on broader market sentiment.

In contrast, Bitcoin has evolved into a hybrid asset, behaving like a high-growth tech stock during risk-on rallies, yet increasingly acting as a flight-to-safety asset and an emerging store of value in times of macroeconomic uncertainty. This dual role is evident in its market structure, positioning, and performance, signaling a growing decoupling from high-growth tech stocks like the Mag 7.

Bitcoin's resilience across market cycles

Since the launch of U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs in January 2024, Bitcoin has surged over 120% during the risk-on rally, significantly outpacing the Magnificent 7’s approximate 47% gain. While both benefited from macroeconomic tailwinds and renewed investor appetite, Bitcoin's performance reflected a significant influx of institutional capital through spot ETFs and its increasing sensitivity to macroeconomic factors, such as real yields and liquidity trends.

The gap between the two widened further in the months that followed. From late January this year to the end of April, the Mag 7 dropped more than 17% from their peak. Bitcoin also declined but by a more modest ~12%, even staging a partial recovery in late April. In the last week alone, Bitcoin surged more than 7%, while the Mag 7 fell another 9%, a stark contrast that highlighted Bitcoin’s relative strength.

Year-to-date, Bitcoin remains slightly positive, while the Mag 7 are down about 15%. This ongoing divergence signals that Bitcoin is not only holding its ground in absolute terms but is also emerging as a leader among major asset classes.

Bitcoin’s shifting relationship with Mag 7 

The shift is also evident in Bitcoin’s 7-day rolling correlation with the Mag 7. While correlations peaked at 0.93 in mid-March, they have since turned sharply negative at key inflection points, ranging from -0.78 to -0.43 over the past week. These fluctuations underscore Bitcoin's growing sensitivity to distinct macroeconomic flows, driven not by the broader equity market but by its increasing adoption as an emerging store of value, independent of any state, and sustained demand through exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

Why Bitcoin is a savior for investors

Amid rising geopolitical tensions and uncertainty, most recently sparked by Trump’s tariff proposals, investors are increasingly turning to Bitcoin as a hedge in volatile times. Unlike traditional assets, Bitcoin is borderless, decentralized, and immune to control by any single nation or government. Its fixed supply and global neutrality make it an appealing alternative as conventional hedges lose their effectiveness. Moreover, Bitcoin often leads other asset classes in pricing shifts to global liquidity, a trend that is reasserting itself.

As a result, Bitcoin is evolving into a new type of portfolio asset: a hybrid macro instrument, approximately 80% store of value and 20% tech exposure, making it an attractive diversifier for portfolios increasingly concentrated in equities and exposed to macro fragility. 

Unlike the Mag 7, Bitcoin’s value isn’t tied to earnings, regulatory approvals, or supply chains, which adds structural balance to both traditional and modern asset allocations.

Looking ahead, Bitcoin’s strength during the steep correction of mega-cap tech stocks isn’t merely a short-term anomaly but a signal. As structural ETF flows deepen, macro conditions evolve, and institutional adoption expands, Bitcoin is being redefined. No longer just a fringe alternative asset, it is on its way to becoming a core allocation in global portfolios.