What is the best predictor of match outcomes for the 2026 international soccer tournament, crypto markets or traditional markets?
CRYPTO - DECENTRALIZED MARKETS
Blockchain prediction markets priced purely by the crowd, with no house edge.
TRADITIONAL - CENTRALIZED MARKETS
Traditional bookmakers with a built-in house edge on every bet.
Where crypto and traditional markets diverge
3
Upcoming matches
3
Past matches
6
No market
1
Prototype — demo data only
Upcoming divergent matches(1)
Upcoming fixtures where crypto and traditional markets predict different outcomes OR where the probability difference is greater than 3%. Live data will be locked in at kick-off. These divergent calls reveal genuine informational gaps between decentralized and centralized markets.
Group L
17 Jun · 18:00 ET · MetLife Stadium, New Jersey
🏴
England
VS
Croatia
🇭🇷
CRYPTO PREDICTION MARKET
England win
51%
Draw
31%
Croatia win
18%
TRADITIONAL PREDICTION MARKET
England win
36%
Draw
38%
Croatia win
26%
Past divergent matches(2)
Past fixtures where Crypto and TradFi predict different outcomes.
Grp F
13 Jun · 15:00 ET · Levi's Stadium, San Francisco
🇯🇵
Japan
2–1
Japan win
Netherlands
🇳🇱
Crypto · Polymarket
Japan win
42%
Draw
30%
Netherlands win
28%
Correct
TradFi · Pinnacle
Japan win
20%
Draw
25%
Netherlands win
55%
Incorrect
Grp C
14 Jun · 15:00 ET · Gillette Stadium, Boston
🇧🇷
Brazil
1–0
Brazil win
Morocco
🇲🇦
Crypto · Polymarket
Brazil win
40%
Draw
42%
Morocco win
18%
Incorrect
TradFi · Pinnacle
Brazil win
62%
Draw
24%
Morocco win
14%
Correct
All past matches(6)
Shows prediction accuracy and hypothetical $100 bet returns for each side.
Grp A
11 Jun · 19:00 ET · Estadio Azteca, Mexico City
🇲🇽
Mexico
2–0
Mexico win
South Africa
🇿🇦
Crypto · Polymarket
Mexico win
65%
Draw
22%
South Africa win
13%
Correct
TradFi · Pinnacle
Mexico win
68%
Draw
20%
South Africa win
12%
Correct
Grp I
12 Jun · 18:00 ET · MetLife Stadium, New Jersey
🇫🇷
France
3–1
France win
Senegal
🇸🇳
Crypto · Polymarket
France win
79%
Draw
14%
Senegal win
7%
Correct
TradFi · Pinnacle
France win
82%
Draw
13%
Senegal win
5%
Correct
Grp F
13 Jun · 15:00 ET · Levi's Stadium, San Francisco
🇯🇵
Japan
2–1
Japan win
Netherlands
🇳🇱
Crypto · Polymarket
Japan win
42%
Draw
30%
Netherlands win
28%
Correct
TradFi · Pinnacle
Japan win
20%
Draw
25%
Netherlands win
55%
Incorrect
Grp J
13 Jun · 21:00 ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
🇦🇷
Argentina
1–0
Argentina win
Jordan
🇯🇴
Crypto · Polymarket
Argentina win
89%
Draw
8%
Jordan win
3%
Correct
TradFi · Pinnacle
Argentina win
91%
Draw
7%
Jordan win
2%
Correct
Grp H
14 Jun · 21:00 ET · AT&T Stadium, Dallas
🇪🇸
Spain
0–1
Uruguay win
Uruguay
🇺🇾
Crypto · Polymarket
Spain win
71%
Draw
19%
Uruguay win
10%
Incorrect
TradFi · Pinnacle
Spain win
73%
Draw
17%
Uruguay win
10%
Incorrect
Grp C
14 Jun · 15:00 ET · Gillette Stadium, Boston
🇧🇷
Brazil
1–0
Brazil win
Morocco
🇲🇦
Crypto · Polymarket
Brazil win
40%
Draw
42%
Morocco win
18%
Incorrect
TradFi · Pinnacle
Brazil win
62%
Draw
24%
Morocco win
14%
Correct
All upcoming matches(3)
Live prediction numbers, will be locked at kick-off. Returns shown are what $100 on each side's call would return if correct.
Grp L
17 Jun · 18:00 ET · MetLife Stadium, New Jersey
🏴
England
VS
Croatia
🇭🇷
Crypto · Polymarket
England win
51%
Draw
31%
Croatia win
18%
Prediction locked
TradFi · Pinnacle
England win
36%
Draw
38%
Croatia win
26%
Prediction locked
Grp K
17 Jun · 21:00 ET · Rose Bowl, Los Angeles
🇵🇹
Portugal
VS
Colombia
🇨🇴
Crypto · Polymarket
Portugal win
66%
Draw
22%
Colombia win
12%
Prediction locked
TradFi · Pinnacle
Portugal win
69%
Draw
19%
Colombia win
12%
Prediction locked
Grp J
18 Jun · 21:00 ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
🇦🇷
Argentina
VS
Algeria
🇩🇿
Crypto · Polymarket
Argentina win
88%
Draw
9%
Algeria win
3%
Prediction locked
TradFi · Pinnacle
Argentina win
92%
Draw
6%
Algeria win
2%
Prediction locked
Matches with no market(10)
Matches where there are no odds yet
Grp J
18 Jun · 21:00 ET · Hard Rock Stadium, Miami
Upcoming
🇦🇷
Argentina
VS
Algeria
🇩🇿
Scoreboard
6 scored
Crypto - decentralized markets
Polymarket
4
67% accuracy
Traditional - centralized markets
Pinnacle
4
67% accuracy
Currently tied
How it's scored
01
Three-way probability
Each side publishes win/draw/win probabilities for every match, locked at kick-off.
02
Highest probability = the call
The outcome with the highest probability becomes that side's official prediction.
03
Correct call = 1 point
After the final whistle: one point for a correct call. Most correct across 104 matches wins.